Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 13.812293 15.697723 17.698390 19.974364 22.486518 25.169398 28.245963
2025-01-12 10.282042 12.718334 15.480843 18.825695 22.745391 27.172096 32.527314
2025-01-19 7.800338 10.462046 13.674625 17.793429 22.885674 28.924577 36.572432
2025-01-26 6.686594 9.637895 13.400526 18.466954 25.018534 33.106445 43.734991
2025-02-02 6.152964 9.450241 13.859268 20.049786 28.361966 38.968634 53.332050
2025-02-09 5.477034 8.952426 13.819286 20.930123 30.820246 43.831575 61.939913
2025-02-16 4.693232 8.171421 13.272977 21.024747 32.180732 47.292128 68.873993
2025-02-23 3.925560 7.288901 12.457129 20.620485 32.765719 49.684886 74.449359
2025-03-02 3.330105 6.580863 11.803665 20.359510 33.486853 52.249671 80.330684
2025-03-09 2.903694 6.084168 11.409790 20.429552 34.658295 55.465972 87.225383
2025-03-16 2.490315 5.541581 10.869978 20.200169 35.327718 57.949877 93.142389
2025-03-23 2.319473 5.419000 11.016750 21.079919 37.748927 63.111056 103.146973
2025-03-30 2.047200 5.067809 10.742927 21.261418 39.118004 66.826916 111.295753
2025-04-06 1.690952 4.482762 9.975963 20.521449 38.931050 68.138024 115.883835
2025-04-13 1.382024 3.936246 9.207305 19.693864 38.520196 69.051584 119.876170
2025-04-20 1.297999 3.882135 9.388765 20.606517 41.119022 74.863933 131.700710
2025-04-27 1.309654 4.057307 10.047959 22.457775 45.444557 83.638946 148.496233
2025-05-04 1.242676 4.027272 10.277538 23.500888 48.392542 90.268116 162.097252
2025-05-11 1.107953 3.798867 10.060067 23.652647 49.744712 94.300969 171.658691
2025-05-18 0.948384 3.469582 9.580492 23.236049 50.024405 96.529533 178.348303
2025-05-25 0.820293 3.197990 9.193368 22.965742 50.543311 99.163834 185.768017
2025-06-01 0.730261 3.016737 8.990586 23.054066 51.727490 102.966976 195.221726
2025-06-08 0.633110 2.789315 8.646695 22.807318 52.244104 105.610751 202.797289